Konsensus, 81 ilde vatanda\u015flara \u201cBu pazar bir genel se\u00e7im olsa oyunuzu kime verirsiniz?\u201d sorusunu y\u00f6neltti.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Vatanda\u015flar\u0131n y\u00fczde 53.7\u2019si \u201cAK Parti\u201d yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 verirken, y\u00fczde 23.8\u2019i \u201cCHP\u201d dedi. Haziran ay\u0131na g\u00f6re oy oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 2.1 puan art\u0131ran AK Parti, y\u00fczde 3 oy kaybeden CHP\u2019ye tam 30 puanl\u0131k fark att\u0131 KONSENSUS Ara\u015ft\u0131rma ve Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015eirketi\u2019nin Habert\u00fcrk Gazetesi i\u00e7in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cT\u00fcrkiye G\u00fcndemi Ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 Eyl\u00fcl 2012 \u2013 Suriye\u2019de \u0130\u00e7 Sava\u015f PKK Ter\u00f6r\u00fc\u201d ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 belli oldu. 24 A\u011fustos 6 Eyl\u00fcl tarihleri aras\u0131nda 81 ilin hem kentsel, hem de k\u0131rsal kesiminden se\u00e7men n\u00fcfusunu temsil etme yetene\u011fine sahip 18 ya\u015f \u00fcst\u00fc 749\u2019u erkek, 751\u2019i kad\u0131n toplam 1500 ki\u015fiyle telefon anketi y\u00f6ntemiyle g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fen Konsensus, halk\u0131n nabz\u0131n\u0131 tuttu. \u0130\u015fte sonucu en \u00e7ok merak edilen soru: \u201cBu pazar bir genel milletvekilli\u011fi se\u00e7imi olsa sand\u0131ktan nas\u0131l bir sonu\u00e7 \u00e7\u0131kacak?\u2019\u2019 Konsensus\u2019un ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131nda, karars\u0131z oylar da\u011f\u0131t\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra haziran ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lan ankete g\u00f6re oy oran\u0131n\u0131 2.1 puan art\u0131ran AK Parti, y\u00fczde 53.7 ile zirvedeki yerini korudu. Oylar\u0131 3 puan d\u00fc\u015fen CHP ise y\u00fczde 23.8 ile ikinci s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131. Binde 4\u2019l\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fayan MHP de y\u00fczde 13.1 ile \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131radaki yerini korudu.<\/p>\n

\nEn be\u011fenilen lider Erdo\u011fan ikinci s\u0131rada Sar\u0131g\u00fcl var<\/strong><\/p>\n
KONSENSUS ankete kat\u0131lanlara \u201cSize okuyaca\u011f\u0131m siyasi parti, hareket liderlerini be\u011fenip be\u011fenmedi\u011finizi belirtir misiniz?\u2019\u2019 diye sordu. En be\u011fenilen lider ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131nda birinci s\u0131rada y\u00fczde 44.5 ile Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan yer ald\u0131. \u0130kincilik k\u00fcrs\u00fcs\u00fcne y\u00fczde 29.3 ile Mustafa Sar\u0131g\u00fcl, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcl\u00fck k\u00fcrs\u00fcs\u00fcne ise y\u00fczde 23.4 ile Kemal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu oturdu.<\/p>\n
‘T\u00fcrk solu bizi ilgilendirmiyor’<\/strong><\/p>\n
KONSENSUS, ankete kat\u0131lanlara, \u201cSiyasi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fczden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z, objektif d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fczde, T\u00fcrk soluna en fazla yarar\u0131n\u0131n dokunaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcz siyaset\u00e7i kimdir?\u2019\u2019 sorusunu y\u00f6neltti. \u201cT\u00fcrk solu beni ilgilendirmiyor\u2019\u2019 diyenlerin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 33.8 oldu. Mustafa Sar\u0131g\u00fcl y\u00fczde 28.3 ile solun liderli\u011fi yar\u0131\u015f\u0131nda birinci s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131. Kemal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu ise y\u00fczde 24.5 ile ikinci oldu.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Erdo\u011fan olmazsa AK Parti’ye oy vermem diyenlerin oran\u0131 artt\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n
ARA\u015eTIRMADA yan\u0131t\u0131 en \u00e7ok merak edilen sorular\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda \u201cE\u011fer Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki ilk se\u00e7ime kadar herhangi bir sebepten dolay\u0131 AK Parti Genel Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019ndan ayr\u0131lsa AK Parti\u2019ye oy verirmisiniz?\u201d sorusu geliyordu. Bu soruya, \u201cO zaman AK Parti \u2019ye oy vermem\u2019 \u2019 diyenlerin oran\u0131 haziran ay\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re 5.5 puan artarak y\u00fczde 12.1\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. Bu oran haziran ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 6.6\u2019yd\u0131. \u2018Erdo\u011fan olmazsa AK Parti\u2019ye oy vermem\u2019 diyenlerin oran\u0131 artt\u0131.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Her iki ki\u015fiden biri Erdo\u011fan’dan memnun<\/strong><\/p>\n
ARA\u015eTIRMADA AK Parti Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan\u2019 n siyasi performans\u0131ndan \u201cMemnunun olanlar\u0131n\u2019 \u2019 oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 48.2 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u201cMemnun olmayanlar\u0131n\u2019\u2019 oran\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 36.2. CHP Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kemal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu\u2019nun siyasi performans\u0131ndan mem nun olanlar\u0131n oran\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 24.8. Her 2 ki\u015fiden biri Erdo\u011fan\u2019dan memnun.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Erdo\u011fan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 olursa yerine Ar\u0131n\u00e7 ge\u00e7sin<\/strong><\/p>\n
KONSENSUS, vatanda\u015flara \u201cBa\u015fbakan Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 olursa, AK Parti Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 kim olsun?\u2019\u2019 sorusunu da y\u00f6neltti. Bu soruya yan\u0131t verenlerin y\u00fczde 30.5\u2019i \u201cB\u00fclent Ar\u0131n\u00e7\u2019\u2019 dedi. AK Parti Genel Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yar\u0131\u015f\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck s\u0131\u00e7rama yapan ve oy oran\u0131n\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki ankete g\u00f6re 14.4 puan art\u0131ran Ar\u0131n\u00e7\u2019\u0131, y\u00fczde 20.1 ile Abdullah G\u00fcl takip etti. Listenin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131ras\u0131nda y\u00fczde 19.5 ile Ali Babacan yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Bat\u0131’da AK Parti y\u00fckseli\u015fte CHP d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte<\/strong><\/p>\n
KONSENSUS\u2019un yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cT\u00fcrkiye kesiti\u201d ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na g\u00f6re AK Parti, haziran ay\u0131 anketine g\u00f6re Bat\u0131\u2019da oylar\u0131n\u0131 2.2 puan art\u0131rarak y\u00fczde 49.8\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. CHP ise Bat\u0131\u2019da 2.7 puanl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fad\u0131 ve oylar\u0131 y\u00fczde 31.7\u2019ye geriledi.<\/p>\n
Yerel se\u00e7imlerde de AK Parti a\u00e7\u0131k ara \u00f6nde<\/strong><\/p>\n
KONSENSUS \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlere damgas\u0131n\u0131 vuracak olan yerelse\u00e7imleri de masaya yat\u0131rd\u0131 ve ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya kat\u0131lanlara sordu: \u201c Bu pazar, bir yerel se\u00e7im olsa ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z yerdeki belediye ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in hangi partinin belediye ba\u015fkan aday\u0131na oy verirsiniz?\u2019\u2019 Bu soruya yan\u0131t verenlerin y\u00fcz de 53.2\u2019si \u201cAK Par ti \u2019\u2019 derken, \u201cCHP aday\u0131na oy veriri m\u2019 \u2019 diyenlerin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 25.8\u2019de kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
En be\u011fenilen belediye ba\u015fkanlar\u0131 Sar\u0131g\u00fcl, Topba\u015f ve G\u00f6k\u00e7ek<\/strong><\/p>\n
PEK\u0130 T\u00fcrkiye genelinde en \u00e7ok be\u011fenilen belediye ba\u015fkanlar\u0131 kimler? Konsensus\u2019un yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya g\u00f6re listenin zirvesinde y\u00fczde 28.9 ile \u015ei\u015fli Belediye Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Mustafa Sar\u0131g\u00fcl bulunuyor. \u0130kinci s\u0131rada y\u00fczde 13.2 ile \u0130stanbul B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir Belediye Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kadir Topba\u015f yer ald\u0131. Topba\u015f\u2019\u0131 y\u00fczde 11.7 ile Ankara B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir Belediye Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Melih G\u00f6k\u00e7ek takip ediyor.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
‘Makas hi\u00e7 bu kadar a\u00e7\u0131lmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131’<\/strong><\/p>\n
ARA\u015eTIRMANIN sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendi en Konsensus Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Murat Sar\u0131, \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi:<\/p>\n
\u201cKonsensus\u2019 un ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi 27. g\u00fcndem ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 sonu\u00e7land\u0131. AK Parti en yak\u0131n rakibi ile aras\u0131ndaki puan fark\u0131n\u0131 30\u2019a \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Bu ara\u015ft\u0131rman\u0131n en ilgin\u00e7 sonucu AK Parti ile CHP aras\u0131ndaki puan fark\u0131n\u0131n bu ay hari\u00e7 hi\u00e7bir zaman 30 puana \u00e7\u0131kmad\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Bu fark\u0131n 25\u2019ler d\u00fczeyinden 30\u2019lar d\u00fczeyine y\u00fckselmesinin en \u00f6nemli sebebi CHP\u2019nin, se\u00e7men say\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7ok olan Bat\u0131 illerindeki oyunun 3 puan d\u00fc\u015fmesidir. Bat\u0131 illerinde acil \u00f6nlem almaz ise bu puan fark\u0131n\u0131n daha da a\u00e7\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. 2002 y\u0131l\u0131 milletvekili se\u00e7imlerinde AK Parti y\u00fczde 34.3, CHP y\u00fczde 19.4 oy al\u0131yor. Aradaki fark 15 puan. 2007 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki milletvekili se\u00e7imlerinde AK Parti y\u00fczde 46.6, CHP y\u00fczde 20.1 oy al\u0131yor. Aradaki fark 26 puan. 2011 y\u0131l\u0131 milletvekili se\u00e7imlerinde, CHP se\u00e7ime yeni lideriyle giriyor ve sonu\u00e7 AK Parti y\u00fczde 49.8, CHP y\u00fczde 26.0 oy al\u0131yor. Aradaki fark 23 puan. Makas hi\u00e7 bu ay ki kadar a\u00e7\u0131lmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ve makas bu kadar a\u00e7\u0131k olunca bu \u00fclkede ne demokrasiden bahsedilir, ne se\u00e7imlerden bahsedilir, ne de ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketlerinin tahminleri \u00f6nemlidir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc kazanan bellidir. Demokrasi terazisi bozulmu\u015f. \u00d6yle bir hal alm\u0131\u015f ki, \u2018T\u00fcrk solunun liderli\u011fi beni ilgilendirmiyor\u2019 diyenlerin oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 34. Sol, sosyaldemokrasi se\u00e7meninin umurunda ve g\u00fcndeminde de\u011fil.\u201d
\n(Habert\u00fcrk)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Konsensus, 81 ilde vatanda\u015flara \u201cBu pazar bir genel se\u00e7im olsa oyunuzu kime verirsiniz?\u201d sorusunu y\u00f6neltti. Vatanda\u015flar\u0131n y\u00fczde 53.7\u2019si \u201cAK Parti\u201d yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 verirken, y\u00fczde 23.8\u2019i \u201cCHP\u201d dedi. Haziran ay\u0131na g\u00f6re oy oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 2.1 puan art\u0131ran AK Parti, y\u00fczde 3 oy kaybeden CHP\u2019ye tam 30 puanl\u0131k fark att\u0131 KONSENSUS Ara\u015ft\u0131rma ve Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015eirketi\u2019nin Habert\u00fcrk Gazetesi […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":10414,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,8],"tags":[60,48,500,501,20992,46,45,47,502],"class_list":["post-10412","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem","category-siyaset","tag-ak-parti","tag-alexa","tag-bugun-secim-olsa","tag-chp","tag-erzurum","tag-erzurum-haber","tag-erzurum-haberleri","tag-google","tag-mhp"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10412","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10412"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10412\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10414"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10412"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10412"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10412"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}