YIL SONU B\u00dcY\u00dcME BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130 ARTTI<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB), 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 payla\u015ft\u0131. ay\u0131 Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketi, reel sekt\u00f6r ve finansal sekt\u00f6r temsilcileri ile profesyonellerden olu\u015fan 48 kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yan\u0131tland\u0131 ve sonu\u00e7lar kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yan\u0131tlar\u0131 toplula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131larak de\u011ferlendirildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Buna g\u00f6re, cari y\u0131l sonu t\u00fcketici enflasyonu (T\u00dcFE) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 17,63 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 19,31 oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 13,91 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 15,61 oldu. 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE beklentisi ise ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 11,27 ve y\u00fczde 11,76 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti<\/p>\n\n\n\n 12 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 12 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin ihtimal tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 23,94 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 16,00 – 16,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 19,89 ihtimalle ise y\u00fczde 17,00 – 17,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re ise, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 16,67’sinin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 16,00 – 16,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 28,57’sinin beklentilerinin ise y\u00fczde 17,00 -17,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 24 ay sonras\u0131 enflasyon beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 24 ay sonras\u0131na ili\u015fkin ihtimal tahminleri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00dcFE’nin ortalama olarak y\u00fczde 23,82 ihtimalle y\u00fczde 10,00 – 10,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 18,60 ihtimalle ise y\u00fczde 11,00 – 11,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ayn\u0131 anket d\u00f6neminde nokta tahminler esas al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeye g\u00f6re, 24 ay sonras\u0131 T\u00dcFE enflasyonu beklentileri de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n y\u00fczde 21,05’inin beklentilerinin y\u00fczde 10,00 – 10,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, y\u00fczde 28,95\u2018inin beklentilerinin ise y\u00fczde 11,00 – 11,99 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlendi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Faiz beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n B\u0130ST Repo ve Ters-Repo Pazar\u0131’nda olu\u015fan cari ay sonu gecelik faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 17,82 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 15,53 oldu. TCMB bir hafta vadeli repo ihale faiz oran\u0131 cari ay sonu beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 17,63 iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 15,25 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n D\u00f6viz kuru beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Cari y\u0131l sonu d\u00f6viz kuru (ABD Dolar\u0131\/TL) beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 9,22 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 9,98 TL oldu. 12 ay sonras\u0131 d\u00f6viz kuru beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde 10,01 TL iken, bu anket d\u00f6neminde 10,93 TL olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n GSYH 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 8,9 iken bu anket d\u00f6neminde y\u00fczde 9,2 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. GSYH 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ise bir \u00f6nceki anket d\u00f6neminde oldu\u011fu gibi y\u00fczde 4,2 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 L\u00fctf\u00fc Elvan: “Kurun de\u011feri piyasada belirlenir. Bir \u00fclkedeki rekabet art\u0131\u015f\u0131; \u00fcretkenlik art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan, inovatif kabiliyetlerden ve teknolojiyi kullanma becerisinden gelir. \u201cH\u00fck\u00fcmetimizin ihracat\u0131 desteklemek amac\u0131yla, y\u00fcksek d\u00f6viz kuru hedeflerine y\u00f6nelik yorumlar do\u011fru de\u011fil\u201d dedi. YIL SONU B\u00dcY\u00dcME BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130 ARTTI T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB), 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 Kas\u0131m ay\u0131 piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 anketi sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 payla\u015ft\u0131. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1574845,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1574844","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-erzurum-haber","category-gundem"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1574844","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1574844"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1574844\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1574845"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1574844"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1574844"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1574844"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}