K\u00fcresel enerji piyasalar\u0131nda tansiyon y\u00fckselirken, Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings\u2019den (Fitch) korkutan bir uyar\u0131 geldi.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’nda ya\u015fanabilecek olas\u0131 bir t\u0131kanman\u0131n ekonomik faturas\u0131n\u0131 hesaplayan kurulu\u015f, Brent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda hayal dahi edilemeyecek rakamlara ula\u015fabilece\u011fi senaryolar\u0131 payla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Mevcut ekonomik krizle bo\u011fu\u015fan milyonlarca ara\u00e7 sahibi, nakliyeci ve \u00fcretici i\u00e7in bu tablo, i\u011fneden ipli\u011fe yeni bir zam ya\u011fmuru demek.<\/p>\n
Fitch taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan senaryolara g\u00f6re, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n 6 ay boyunca fiilen kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131 durumunda Brent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 ortalamas\u0131nda 120 dolara ula\u015facak.<\/p>\n
Ancak as\u0131l tehlike kapanma s\u00fcrecindeki ani s\u0131\u00e7ramada gizli. Analizde, 6 ayl\u0131k kapanma s\u00fcrecinde fiyatlar\u0131n 130 ila 170 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na f\u0131rlayabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. E\u011fer bo\u011faz 3 ay kapal\u0131 kal\u0131rsa, varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l genelinde 100 dolar band\u0131nda seyretmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131, k\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck tam 15 milyon varillik devasa bir kayba yol a\u00e7acak.<\/p>\n
Fitch, bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te \u00e7ok k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck miktarlarda ge\u00e7i\u015fin devam edebilece\u011fini belirtse de, arzda ya\u015fanacak bu kesintinin piyasalarda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir kaosa neden olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurguluyor. Jeopolitik risk priminin olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlatan kurulu\u015f, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n s\u00fcresi ve petrol ge\u00e7i\u015findeki aksamalar konusundaki belirsizli\u011fin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n
Fitch, sava\u015f \u00f6ncesinde piyasadaki arz fazlas\u0131 nedeniyle 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 petrol fiyat\u0131 beklentisinin 63 dolar oldu\u011funu an\u0131msatt\u0131. Ancak gelinen noktada temel beklenti 70 dolara revize edilmi\u015f durumda. Senaryolar\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi halinde ise 70 dolarl\u0131k bu “iyimser” beklenti bile halk\u0131n ula\u015f\u0131m ve \u0131s\u0131nma maliyetlerini ikiye katlayabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
K\u00fcresel enerji piyasalar\u0131nda tansiyon y\u00fckselirken, Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings\u2019den (Fitch) korkutan bir uyar\u0131 geldi. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’nda ya\u015fanabilecek olas\u0131 bir t\u0131kanman\u0131n ekonomik faturas\u0131n\u0131 hesaplayan kurulu\u015f, Brent petrol\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131n\u0131n 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda hayal dahi edilemeyecek rakamlara ula\u015fabilece\u011fi senaryolar\u0131 payla\u015ft\u0131. Mevcut ekonomik krizle bo\u011fu\u015fan milyonlarca ara\u00e7 sahibi, nakliyeci ve \u00fcretici i\u00e7in bu tablo, i\u011fneden ipli\u011fe yeni […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1580531,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1580530","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1580530","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1580530"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1580530\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1580531"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1580530"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1580530"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1580530"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}