﻿{"id":36949,"date":"2013-05-05T12:22:21","date_gmt":"2013-05-05T09:22:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.erzurumflas.com\/?p=36949"},"modified":"2013-05-05T12:22:21","modified_gmt":"2013-05-05T09:22:21","slug":"altin-fiyatlarindaki-artis-surecek-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/?p=36949","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrecek mi?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131n ve Para Piyasalar\u0131 Uzman\u0131 Mehmet Ali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131mt\u00fcrk, &#8220;Bu hafta Cumhuriyet alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7e\u015fitlerinin fiyatlar\u0131ndaki prim d\u00fc\u015febilir&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131mt\u00fcrk, ge\u00e7en hafta alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131nda i\u00e7 piyasa fiyat\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f piyasaya nazaran daha dar aral\u0131kta dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, haftan\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcn\u00fcnde zay\u0131f, sonras\u0131nda ise daha hareketli i\u015flem hacimleri olu\u015ftu\u011funu an\u0131msatarak, &#8220;Pazartesi Darphane&#8217;den yeni Cumhuriyet alt\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n piyasaya verilmesiyle k\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n i\u015flemlerinde hareketlenme olabilir. Bu hafta Cumhuriyet alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7e\u015fitlerinin fiyatlar\u0131ndaki prim d\u00fc\u015febilir&#8221; diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u0130\u00e7 piyasada hafta i\u00e7inde parite de\u011fi\u015fimine ra\u011fmen dolar\u0131n 1.792-1.7970 lira aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda istikrarl\u0131 seyir izlemesiyle Kapal\u0131\u00e7ar\u015f\u0131 Alt\u0131n Piyasas\u0131&#8217;nda 24 ayar alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7en haftalara g\u00f6re daha az primli fiyat olu\u015fturarak 84,50-85,65 TL\/Gr aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getiren Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131mt\u00fcrk, &#8220;Alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131 ge\u00e7en hafta ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen fiyat dalgalanmas\u0131n\u0131 bu hafta s\u00fcrd\u00fcremeyebilir. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede alt\u0131n yeni bir i\u015flem band\u0131n\u0131 se\u00e7ebilir. Bu gerek\u00e7e y\u00fckseli\u015fte yeni ge\u00e7ece\u011fi band aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 1.485-1.505 dolar\/Ons olabilece\u011fi gibi, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte ise 1430-1450 Dolar\/Ons band\u0131na da girebilir&#8221; bilgisini verdi.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>&#8220;Fed toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131 ve parasal geni\u015flemenin azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 konular\u0131 takip edilmeli&#8221;<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u0130ntegral Menkul De\u011ferler Analisti Egemen Cand\u0131r da alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131nda G\u00fcney K\u0131br\u0131s&#8217;\u0131n alt\u0131n sataca\u011f\u0131 haberleri sonras\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclen geri \u00e7ekilmenin arka plan\u0131nda sadece 300-400 milyon avroluk alt\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 haberleri olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Alt\u0131n\u0131n, \u00f6zellikle \u015fubat ba\u015f\u0131nda ABD&#8217;nin Merkez Bankas\u0131 Fed&#8217;in parasal geni\u015flemesini azaltabilece\u011fi beklentileri ile sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131ndayken bu haberlerin panik sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ve alt\u0131n\u0131n ons fiyat\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 240 dolarl\u0131k bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye neden oldu\u011funu aktaran Cand\u0131r, &#8220;B\u00f6yle bir sert \u00e7ekilme sonras\u0131 Amerika&#8217;da ortam\u0131n da \u00e7ok de\u011fi\u015fmedi\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcrse alt\u0131nda \u015fu anda g\u00f6r\u00fclen toparlanmalar\u0131n uzun soluklu olmas\u0131 beklenmemeli. Ekonomik ba\u011flamda tekrar 1.520-1.530 Dolar\/Ons seviyesinin \u00fcst\u00fcne hareketlerin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in ABD&#8217;de verilerin istikrarl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde zay\u0131f gelmesi veya Avrupa&#8217;da avrodan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f konular\u0131n\u0131n ciddi olarak tekrar dile getirilmesi gerekir&#8221;\u00a0de\u011ferlendirmesini yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Ge\u00e7en ay a\u00e7\u0131klanan &#8220;Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam&#8221; verisinin 88 bin ki\u015fi olarak \u00e7ok zay\u0131f ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinin dahi alt\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015flere destek veremedi\u011fini anlatan Cand\u0131r, &#8220;ABD&#8217;de istihdam seviyeleri kademeli olarak da olsa artmakta, b\u00fcy\u00fcme ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde kademeli art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermekte. Her ne kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck fiyatlardan dolay\u0131 fiziksel talep art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterse de i\u015fin matemati\u011fine bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, k\u00fcresel fiziksel talebin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 1 ayl\u0131k s\u00fcre i\u00e7erisinde tekrar 1.600 Dolar\/Ons seviyelerine y\u00fckseltecek k\u0131vamda olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yleyebiliriz&#8221; g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc payla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Elinde fiziksel alt\u0131n olan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131m anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131 forex piyasas\u0131na k\u0131yasla daha uzun vadede oldu\u011fundan \u015fimdilik sat\u0131\u015f \u00f6nermediklerini ifade eden Cand\u0131r, &#8220;ABD&#8217;nin parasal geni\u015flemesini ayl\u0131k 85 milyar dolardan 50-70 milyar dolara d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi konular\u0131 konu\u015fulurken alt\u0131n\u0131n 1.550 dolar\/ons seviyesinin \u00fcst\u00fcne may\u0131s ay\u0131 i\u00e7inde \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmemekle beraber Avrupa&#8217;da resesyonun tekrar derinle\u015fmesi durumunda 3 ayl\u0131k s\u00fcre\u00e7 i\u00e7erisinde 1.580&#8217;lerin g\u00f6r\u00fclebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz&#8221; ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Forex piyasalar\u0131n ise daha \u00e7ok k\u0131sa vade hareketlere uygun oldu\u011fundan, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 3 hafta i\u00e7erisinde 1.485, 1.515, 1.530 seviyelerinin sat\u0131\u015flar i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat olabilece\u011fini belirten Cand\u0131r, &#8220;Al\u0131\u015flar i\u00e7in ise 1.440 seviyesi uygun g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Bu ay i\u00e7erisinde ABD&#8217;nin \u00f6zellikle Fed toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131 takip edilmeli ve parasal geni\u015flemenin azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 konular\u0131 takip edilmelidir&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><b>&#8220;Alt\u0131n bozuk ekonomilerden geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilere kay\u0131yor&#8221;<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Karaka\u015f Atlantis Y\u00f6netim Kurulu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kamil Karaka\u015f ise \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 5 ay boyunca alt\u0131n\u0131n ons fiyat\u0131nda bir d\u00fczeltme durumunun s\u00f6z konusu olabilece\u011fini savunarak, gerileme ihtimalinin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu ancak uzun vadede alt\u0131n\u0131n her zaman kazand\u0131rmaya devam edece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 konusunda s\u00fcrekli olumsuz g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f bildirenlere seslenen Karaka\u015f, &#8220;Alt\u0131n bitti, yand\u0131k 1.000\u00a0dolar\/onslari g\u00f6recek diye herhangi bir temele dayanmayan yorumlar yapan arkada\u015flar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n 2008 y\u0131l\u0131 alt\u0131n ons fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 iyice tahlil etmelerini isterim. 1.000 dolar\/onstan 600&#8217;lere gerileme olmu\u015ftu. 600 onslara &#8216;bittik yand\u0131k&#8217; yorumlar\u0131 gelmi\u015fti. Ard\u0131ndan neredeyse 3 kat art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. 1.900\u00a0dolar\/ons\u00a0seviyesine kadar \u00e7\u0131k\u0131ld\u0131&#8221; \u015feklinde konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>K\u0131sa vadede paraya ihtiyac\u0131 olan alt\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131n\u0131 satmas\u0131n\u0131n normal olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getiren Karaka\u015f, alt\u0131n\u0131n onsunun 1.200 dolar seviyelere gelmesi durumunda ciddi bir talep patlamas\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131na dikkati \u00e7ekti. Karaka\u015f, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Alt\u0131n el de\u011fi\u015ftiriyor \u015fu an, bozuk ekonomilerden geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilere kay\u0131yor. Yani geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomiler alt\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k olarak tutar, satmaz. Onun i\u00e7in bu devrin 6 ay daha s\u00fcrece\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebilirim.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Alt\u0131n geli\u015fmi\u015f ve geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkelerin eline ge\u00e7ti\u011finde fiyatlar\u0131 2014 y\u0131l\u0131nda 2.000 hatta 2.100&#8217;ler seviyesinde g\u00f6rebiliriz ama s\u00f6yledi\u011fim gibi alt\u0131n bu 6 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde bir miktar daha geri gelecektir.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alt\u0131n ve Para Piyasalar\u0131 Uzman\u0131 Mehmet Ali Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131mt\u00fcrk, &#8220;Bu hafta Cumhuriyet alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7e\u015fitlerinin fiyatlar\u0131ndaki prim d\u00fc\u015febilir&#8221; dedi. &nbsp; &nbsp; Y\u0131ld\u0131r\u0131mt\u00fcrk, ge\u00e7en hafta alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131nda i\u00e7 piyasa fiyat\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f piyasaya nazaran daha dar aral\u0131kta dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, haftan\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcn\u00fcnde zay\u0131f, sonras\u0131nda ise daha hareketli i\u015flem hacimleri olu\u015ftu\u011funu an\u0131msatarak, &#8220;Pazartesi Darphane&#8217;den yeni Cumhuriyet alt\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n piyasaya verilmesiyle k\u00fcl\u00e7e [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,20],"tags":[536,8545],"class_list":["post-36949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-turkiye","tag-altin-fiyatlari","tag-erzurum-ekonomi-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36949","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=36949"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36949\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=36949"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=36949"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=36949"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}