{"id":46200,"date":"2013-07-19T23:59:17","date_gmt":"2013-07-19T20:59:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.erzurumflas.com\/?p=46200"},"modified":"2013-07-19T23:59:17","modified_gmt":"2013-07-19T20:59:17","slug":"en-son-secim-anketi-hangi-parti-barajin-altinda-kaliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.erzhaber.com.tr\/?p=46200","title":{"rendered":"En son se\u00e7im anketi hangi parti baraj\u0131n alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ara\u015ft\u0131rma sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re\u00a0 CHP<\/a>\u00a0y\u00fczde 28.23,MHP<\/a>\u00a0y\u00fczde 16.3 oy oran\u0131na sahipler. AKP oy kaybederken CHP ve MHP oy artt\u0131r\u0131yorlar.\u00a0 BDP<\/a>y\u00fczde 6.4 ile d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada.\u00a0 Saadet Partisi<\/a>\u00a0ve \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi<\/a>\u00a0y\u00fczde 2 band\u0131nda.<\/p>\n

Ara\u015ft\u0131rmada uygulanan \u00f6zel bir teknik ile karars\u0131zlar\u0131n oran\u0131 bir hayli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Karars\u0131zlar ve g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f belirtmeyenler orant\u0131sal olarak da\u011f\u0131t\u0131lmadan \u00f6nce AKP y\u00fczde 41.13, CHP y\u00fczde 26.33 ve MHP y\u00fczde 15.20 oran\u0131nda g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyorlar.<\/p>\n

Sonar’\u0131n son y\u0131llarda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmalardaki kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmalara g\u00f6re\u00a0 2010<\/a>\u00a0y\u0131l\u0131ndan sonra y\u00fczde 52’lere ula\u015fan AKP 6-7 puan kaybetmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

CHP\u00a0 2012<\/a>\u00a0y\u0131l\u0131nda bir miktar puan kaybettikten sonra bu sene tekrar oylar\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131rmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f.<\/p>\n

MHP ise 2010 y\u0131l\u0131ndan beri s\u00fcrekli art\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bar\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrecinin en karl\u0131 partisi olmas\u0131 beklenen BDP hen\u00fcz y\u00fczde 10 baraj\u0131n\u0131 a\u015famam\u0131\u015f olsa da, y\u00fczde 7 civar\u0131nda oylar\u0131n\u0131 konsolide etmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Bir s\u00fcredir y\u00fczde 2-4 aras\u0131nda seyreden SP’ye kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u0130P bu sene bir atak yaparak y\u00fczde 2 oy oran\u0131na sahip olmu\u015f.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Sonar Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Hakan Bayrak\u00e7\u0131 AKP’nin 11 y\u0131ll\u0131k iktidar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan bu art\u0131\u015f ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015flerin do\u011fal oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. Bayrak\u00e7\u0131’ya g\u00f6re, Bar\u0131\u015f s\u00fcreci ve Gezi s\u00fcreci farkl\u0131 etkenler olu\u015fturarak bu tabloyu etkilemi\u015fler.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"